Sunday, September 7, 2008

NSG meet approves nuclear waiver for India

The 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) has approved a US plan to engage in nuclear trade with India. Following the green signal by the NSG that will cement the Indo-US Civil Nuclear Deal, India has finally come out of the 34-year old nuclear apartheid.


The approval came after almost three days of meeting in Vienna on Saturday. The NSG meet was called to minimise any damage to the Non-Proliferation Treaty, which India has not joined.

now the nuclear deal is signed the
stocks that are benefited from nuclear deal

companies like L&T, BHEL, NTPC, Areva T&D, Alstom Projects, Rolta, HCC, ABB, Crompton Greaves, Siemens stand to gain.

L&T


L&T has done engineering, procurement and construction projects for nuke power plants. It is currently working on the 2,000 MW Kudankulam nuclear project. The company will get into mainstream nuclear projects if the deal goes through. L&T�s talks with Toshibha failed. It entered into a recent tie-up with Mitsubishi for super critical boilers. The Mitsubishi technology would be used for Nuclear Power Corp. L&T may leverage its relationship with Mitsubishi for its other nuclear business.

BHEL


BHEL supplies up to 500 MW of equipment to Nuclear Power Corp. It is looking for a tie up manufacturing equipment of up to 700 MW & 1500 MW. The company has been in talks with Alstom, GE Energy, Russia's LMZ and Siemens. It has an existing tie-up with Siemens for nuclear technology.

NTPC


The company is in talks with Nuclear Power Corporation of India. It is looking at setting up 2000 MW nuclear plant. He is In talks with GE Energy for technology and fuel. NTPC is looking at the project to be operational by 2012-2013.

Areva T&D

Areva T&D is looking at a plant for uranium mining and recycling. The plant would be set up after nod from Nuclear Power Corp.

Alstom Projects


The company already makes nuclear reactors and rotors. Its parent company is a world leader in conventional nuclear projects. It makes turbines for nuclear power stations. It supplies steam turbines to over 30% of nuke power stations globally.

Rolta


The Rolta-Stone and Webster joint venture competent provides reactor-building technology. It will leverage on its partner's core competency. Stone & Webster's parent has 20% in Westinghouse Electric, a nuclear reactor maker.

Gammon has undertaken turnkey construction for nuclear projects.

HCC


HCC has constructed four of seven nuclear power projects in India. It is an EPC contractor for nuclear projects.

ABB


ABB makes components for power projects. Its parent company�s exposure includes new
nuclear power plants, systems and components. The parent company�s exposure includes fuel services, waste management and decommissioning.

Crompton Greaves


Crompton Greaves works with Nuclear Power Corporation of India. It has completed a switchyard for nuclear project.

Walchandnagar Industries makes critical equipment for India's nuclear power facilities.

Siemens has a marginal exposure through its parent company.

Reliance Energy plans to invest additional Rs 12,000 crore in nuclear power capacity. It plans to install 2000 MW of nuclear power capacity.

Tata Power has tied up with some major nuclear equipment suppliers like Areva. It already has a relationship with Toshiba; it will leverage on it.

Saturday, September 6, 2008

Anand Rathi neutral on 20 Microns IPO

Anand Rathi Securities has come out with a research report on 20 Microns' IPO. It has given a neutral rating to the issue.

20 Microns will open for subscription on September 8, 2008 with its public issue of 43,50,632 Equity shares of Rs 10. The price band has been fixed at Rs 50-55. The issue will close on September 11, 2008.

Anand Rathi Securities' report on 20 Microns' IPO:

20ML is a multi-product company which helps to protect it from reductions in demand for any one product type.

20ML’s mining resources and plants are strategically located in the states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu. The manufacturing units of the company are well connected with national - highways and railways which helps the company in reaching to its customers economically.

20ML’s implementation of business planning tools, focus on technical support, field coaching and constant evaluation of product knowledge and training has helped in improving effectiveness and field force productivity. Customer segmentation has also helped to sharpen the focus on its key customers.

A demand under the Central Excise Act to the tune of Rs 107.29 million if decided against the company will adversely affect the financial conditions and the business of operations of the company.

Out of the total issue proceeds (at higher end of price band) of Rs 239.28 million, the offer for sale is Rs 147.16 million and thus the company will be receiving only Rs 92.12 million.

20ML faces competition from unorganized sector whose costs are lower due to exemption from excise duty. The players in the unorganized sector change their formulations to absorb some of the cheaper ground material to lower their cost of production and in turn reducing their pricing. Thus 20ML may be forced to reduce the prices of its offerings and services, which may reduce its revenues and margins and/or decrease its market share, which would adversely affect the business operations of the company.

Valuation:-

At the price of Rs50-55, the issue is priced at 13.6x-15x its FY08 EPS of Rs3.68 and at 15.4x-17.0x its FY08 FDEPS of Rs3.2. On comparison with its established peers which are comparatively larger in size, 20ML appears expensive. Taking into account the valuation and considering the risks associated with the investment concerns cited above, We are NEUTRAL to the issue

latest research

Radico Khaitan Ltd -
sazal sharetraders Research Team / Mumbai Sep 05, 2008 14:44

Radico has acquired a 36% stake in an Aurangabad-based distillery for a sum of Rs1.6bn.

CMP Rs70





We met the management of Radico Khaitan and came back with a cautiously positive view on the company. Radico aims for a 5% volume growth in its flagship whisky brand ‘8PM’ in FY09 while overall IMFL sales is likely to increase by 12% yoy. ‘Magic Moments’, a vodka offering, is expected to double its sales in current year. A new launch is planned in the brown spirits segment even as on operating front the company braces for a rise in the cost of molasses, a key raw material. It has acquired 36% stake in a distillery in Aurangabad, which is likely to be commissioned by December 2008.



Click here for the company update on Radico Khaitan Ltd.

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

ONGC can head upto Rs 1,250-1,300: ASHWANI Gujral

Technical Analyst, Ashwani Gujral is of view that Oil & Natural Gas Corporation, ONGC looks most positive that could be headed back to about Rs 1,250-1,300.

Gujral told CNBC-TV18, "I think crude has much further to go so in energy if I assume that you are talking about oil stocks, they at least have further 10-15%, I think Bharat Petroleum Corporation, BPCL could easily go up to Rs 360, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, HPCL could trade back up to Rs 275-280 and Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) looks most positive that could be headed back to about Rs 1,250-1,300."

Disclosures: It is safe to assume that analyst and his clients may have an investment interest in the stocks/sectors discussed.

Shankar Sharma of First Global said that the overall trend in market is still down and the rally from 12,500-15,000 is over and done with. He feels that the sharp oil price correction is likely and India will be a big beneficiary from the same. According to him, India will benefit from fund reallocation in Emerging Markets, or EMs if crude cracks. He feels that the markets may slip to 10,000 levels this year or early next year and may then start moving up gradually over next three years. He sees the Sensex bottom within the 10,000-12,500 range. He believes that the market could double from lows but that may be short-lived.

According to him, valuations of BHEL, L&T is still expensive. He doubts further stellar returns from SBI and feels that the rally is over. RIL may drive the next leg of fall in the market and could test levels substantially below Rs 2,000 per share, he said. He doesn't see much downside for IT from current levels.

Sharma said, "Nothing has really changed. The GDP numbers have come in confirming our fears but this is just a recent set of numbers. We don't know what lies ahead. Overall the trend is down punctuated by the rallies we keep seeing. When I say bull market, I mean taking out the highs and continuing to the path of 25000 and beyond. Markets could reach 18000-19000 - that rally is still to be played out. So, markets can double from lows but that still won't be a bull market. It will coincide with crude having come off, some talk of political certainty because inflation has cooled off. That rally will propel markets close to 20,000 but I doubt if that will be so quick. Crude has to come off substantially at USD 80-85 per barrel. Our case is it will and may take 12 months to get to the USD 50 per barrel levels. Crude may rally 10-20% from its lows. When it hits USD 50 per barrel, you will see India begin to come back on its own."

Saturday, August 30, 2008

future and options strategy , calls

Future :BUY STABAN (SBI) SEPT FUTURES CMP 1414 Target 1429 and 1445 StopLoss 1401.1
by icici securities

LAIN VANILLA: Buy IDECEL Sept 90 Call @ 1.60- Stop Loss: 0.80 Target: 3.00

cOVERED CALL: Buy RPL (RELPET) September Future @ 158.85/- and Sell September 160 Call @ 7/- Loss is unlimited once RELPET drifts below 151.85

Pick of the Week : Buy Zee News Ltd (ZEENEW) Recommended Price Rs 41.65 Target Rs 64.95. Potential upside 20%. Time frame 6 months.

Friday, August 22, 2008

buzzing stocks



Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's PORTFOLIO

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's PORTFOLIO
No. Company name % stake
1 Agro Tech Foods 4.3

2 Aptech 2.0

3 bharat Earth Mover 1.5

4 Bhushan Steel 2.4

5 Bilcare 11.6

6 crisil 7.6

7 geojit Fin. Ser. 8.6

8 Geometric Soft. 3.5

9 Hind.Oil Explor. 3.9

10 infomedia India 5.4

11 Lupin 3.5

12 mid-Day Multimed 4.5

13 Nag. Constructn. 6.6

14 pantaloon retail 1.7

15 praj Inds. 10.7

16 prime Focus 6.9

17 Provogue (India) 2.5

18 punjnj Lloyd 1.9

19 Ramco Systems 1.0

20 titan Inds. 6.7

21 TTK Prestige 1.1

22 Vadilal Inds. 2.9

23 Viceroy Hotels 13.1

Note: While RJ's direct shareholding in Aptech is just 2%, if one includes Margenta Textiles, his partnership firm's holding, the total holding increases to around 26%.